Far right on rise in Europe

POLITICS: ‘As anti-Semitism was a unifying factor for far-right parties in the 1910s, ’20s and ’30s, Islamophobia has become the unifying factor [now]’

BY KAREN KISSANE IN PARIS, ATHENS

WHEN France’s far-right National Front was newly minted in the 1970s, the people who backed it were stereotyped as working-class roughs with shaved heads and ugly tempers, sometimes photographed at street demonstrations with their fists punching the air. That was then. This is now.
Thibault, 22, lives in Paris and has just graduated from university with a commerce degree. He has studied overseas and he and his sister Camille, 18, who is studying art history, speak fluent English. Their mother is a school teacher and their father a retired businessman.
On a mild summer evening, they mill on the pavement with a couple of dozen other young people waiting to join a meeting of the youth wing of the National Front, the nationalist party led by Marine Le Pen, daughter of party founder Jean-Marie Le Pen. Jean-Marie once called the Nazi gas chambers “a detail of history”. Marine Le Pen has been accused of being Islamophobic.
Thibault has followed the party since 2002, when Jean-Marie caused a stunning upset by making it to the second round of the French presidential election.
“I couldn’t comprehend why there was so much hatred towards him and why he was being persecuted,” Thibault says. “I was aware that he had made homophobic and anti-Semitic comments and I’m happy now that such positions are no longer part of the Front National. It must be understood that he is obviously not the same age as Marine Le Pen and that he belongs to another generation . . . The party now truly reflects all of my opinions, whereas 10 years ago it would have troubled me.”
Thibault and Camille are part of the new face of the right in France, which has seen a surge of support among the young and those living in the provinces, many of whom are economic refugees fleeing the struggling banlieues (suburbs) that ring Paris.
The right is on the rise not just in France but across western Europe. There has been a similar spike in support in Greece where, at the June election, hardship and anti-immigrant feeling catapulted Golden Dawn — a more extreme right-wing party often described as neo-Nazi — into an unprecedented 18 seats in the Greek parliament.
Parties pushing anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim ideas now have significant parliamentary blocs in eight countries, including Germany, Hungary and the Netherlands, where politician Geert Wilders has compared the Koran to Mein Kampf.
They feed unapologetically on growing resentment that foreigners are taking local jobs and welfare benefits. France’s anti-Muslim Bloc Identitaire serves a pork-based “identity soup” to homeless people; Greece’s Golden Dawn hands out food parcels only to people carrying Greek identity papers.
“As anti-Semitism was a unifying factor for far-right parties in the 1910s, ’20s and ’30s, Islamophobia has become the unifying factor [now],” says Thomas Klau, of the European Council on Foreign Relations.
British think tank Demos last year used Facebook to recruit more than 10,000 young supporters of 14 parties and organisations in 11 countries to answer questionnaires. The findings revealed a powerful swell in hardline nationalist sentiment in the young across the continent, particularly among men.
Demos used Facebook’s own advertising tool to extract data about 450,000 supporters of the organisations. Almost two-thirds were aged under 30, and three-quarters were male and more likely than average to be unemployed.
The resentment about outsiders is peculiarly spread. At this meeting of the youth wing of the National Front in Paris, several members are the children or grandchildren of migrants. Karime, 20, is a railway worker whose grandparents emigrated from North Africa. He, too, complains about migrants edging the French out of jobs and welfare but, for him, the main attraction to the party is Marine Le Pen; his face lights up as he talks about what a warm leader she is, and how she truly understands the problems facing the nation.
For Thibault, those problems can be summed up thus: “Past governments have failed to assimilate the incoming flux of immigrants and we are now faced with a tremendous challenge with the third generation of people from North Africa and Africa.
“They have no respect for France’s tradition and culture and seek to impose their own customs and values, which is intolerable. France is probably the most welcoming country in the world — free education and social security — but we cannot welcome all of the world’s misery. For that reason, we need to critically reduce the number of migrants.”
He has come to this view partly because of his mother’s experience teaching, he says: “She is also witnessing this change; numerous children with absent, unemployed fathers, violent and troubled. When you have 70 per cent of the class that isn’t French native and who don’t speak French, how are you supposed to pass on French culture and its heritage?”
He is also sceptical about the European Union and favours protectionism for French products. His sister, Camille, likes the Front’s zero tolerance approach to law and order issues. “There is an increasing sense of insecurity in the big cities,” she adds.
While they feel perfectly comfortable with their views, they are aware that not everyone regards the party in the same light. They chose not to use their surnames for this article in case potential employers should find them on the internet.
Le Pen ranked No. 1 of 10 candidates among young voters in the first presidential ballot earlier this year. She has softened the party’s stance in ways that appeal to a younger electorate.
French political analyst Nonna Meyer of Sciences Po says she has shifted the party away from her father’s image and rhetoric. “She’s younger, she’s a woman, she condemns anti-Semitism . . . She says she is tolerant, it is Islam that is intolerant . . . she up-ends the discourse,” Meyer says.
The opposite is the case with Golden Dawn in Greece, where the rhetoric is increasingly savage. Just before the Greek election in June, MP Ilias Panagiotaros promised that if his party were elected, “It will carry out raids on hospitals and kindergartens and it will throw immigrants and children out on the street so that Greeks can take their place.”
Kostis Papaioannou, former chairman of Greece’s National Commission for Human Rights, links Golden Dawn to rising racist violence. “This is not the rise of the extreme right,” he told The Saturday Age. “We have had the extreme right in parliament for a period; they are mainly ultra-conservatives, who pay attention to values like safety and tradition and illegal immigrants. That was as far as they went.
“But Golden Dawn — this is neo-Nazis. They openly use violence and hate speech, deny the Holocaust, and their internal structure is like an army.”
He says the party’s success at a first election in May was followed by a big rise in race attacks, such as one in Piraeus where 25 people entered a house in which Egyptian immigrants were sleeping: three managed to escape but one was badly beaten. “These people were arrested and they were members of this neo-Nazi party,” Papaioannou says.
In the last quarter of 2011, there were 70 such incidents in just two neighbourhoods of Athens. Groups attacked people who were walking or waiting for a bus, or unleashed dogs to terrify them.
“This is organised,” he says. “In many attacks there are juveniles taking part. Golden Dawn is doing very systematic work in recruiting teenagers in high schools in Athens.”
This is not an image of the party that is recognised by many of those who vote for it. Kostas Fasianis, 39, used to own a mini-market in the Athens suburbs before the economy went bad; now he is unemployed. Politically, he describes himself as a nationalist and a Golden Dawn voter. “The core of the party is people like me and you, the common people,” he says. “Its highest value is that we love our country and are patriotic.”
He wants Greece to guard its borders and deport illegal immigrants, who he believes bring diseases into the country and contribute to rising crime: “In Athens it’s become more violent and it’s uncontrollable. People nowadays, they could kill you for five euros.”
Fasianis says it is a lie to say that Golden Dawn activists have ever attacked leftists or immigrants: “There’s no truth at all to that, and it’s proved by the fact that no member of Golden Dawn was ever convicted in court,” he says.
Kostas Papadakis, 35, is the owner of an Athens mini-market and voted for Golden Dawn for the first time in June. He, too, wants a crackdown on illegal immigration, as well as a renegotiation of the sovereign debt repayment deal that is crippling the Greek economy.
“The country has changed dramatically since the first wave of immigrants,” he says. “It started with Albania, and now there are people from Africa and Afghanistan, and large parts of Athens have become ghettoes.”
For Papadakis, Golden Dawn is an alternative to the corruption of the conservatives and socialists whose economic mismanagement has brought the country to its knees. Of its more extreme elements, he says: “Yes, I also believe that there are members in Golden Dawn that act as neo-Nazis. Personally, I have nothing to do with that. I am not a neo-Nazi and not a strong supporter.
“I want Golden Dawn in the parliament to shake up the system. It’s so unjust that 10 million Greeks have to pay and suffer for the money that was embezzled by the 300 members of the Parliament.”
A World Economic Forum report on Global Risks 2012 warned that Europe’s financial crisis, with resulting 50 per cent unemployment in countries such as Spain and Greece, was sowing “the seeds of dystopia”.
Those seeds have begun to sprout.

First published in The Age.

Centre fights to hold Greece

POLITICAL horse-trading over the next few days will decide the shape of Greece’s next government, as the pro-bailout New Democracy party tries to form yet another coalition to lead the troubled country.
Greek voters provided a breather in the euro crisis by favouring parties that supported the bailout, warding off an immediate crisis in the eurozone. But they also rewarded parties of the radical left and extreme right, marking a new polarisation in political views.
New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras hailed his win as a victory for Greece and Europe: “We will not have new adventure, we will not doubt the position of Greece in Europe, we will not be cowed by fear.”
But he also promised that “we cannot continue to injure every family with government”.
Greece has been crippled by five years of recession and high unemployment, intensified by severe austerity measures imposed as part of a European deal to help it cope with its debt.
Greece’s lenders had insisted the two bailouts, totalling €240 billion ($300.7 billion), be honoured or funds would be cut off, bankrupting Greece and forcing it out of the eurozone.
But Greeks had protested fiercely against the harshness of the measures and a previously obscure party, the radical left Syriza, has sprung to prominence following promises to tear up the memorandum over the bailout. New Democracy won 29.5 per cent. Syriza came a close second, increasing its share of the vote to more than 27 per cent.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel congratulated Mr Samaras and told him she was confident Athens would abide by its European pledges.
Germany has been a major contributor to Greece’s two rescue packages and a key advocate of highly unpopular austerity and reform measures in exchange.
Meanwhile in France, weekend elections gave the Socialists an easy absolute parliamentary majority, strengthening President Francois Hollande’s position in questioning austerity measures and putting greater focus on growth.
The Greek electoral system gives the party with the highest vote a bonus of 50 extra seats but Mr Samaras will still need several coalition allies. He is likely to seek a partnership with the other traditional ruling party of Greece, the centre-left socialists of Pasok. Between them they could muster 160 seats in the 300-seat parliament, but given their fierce differences the coalition would be volatile. Syriza has declined to join the coalition.
“We have a very polarised election result and I think it is reflecting the anger as well as the fear of the voters,” said Kostas Papaioannou, a candidate for the Democratic Left.
Mr Papaioannou told The Age the strong result for extreme-right, anti-immigrant party Golden Dawn, which won about 7 per cent of the vote and an estimated 19 seats in parliament, showed the party was here to stay.
He said the vote that first catapulted the party into parliament last month was clearly not an aberration. Voters could not claim they did not know what they were voting for because they had seen the consequences of the party’s success in the past six weeks.
These included party spokesman Ilias Kasidiaris slapping a woman MP on national television, several racist attacks and a threat by party MP Ilias Pangiotaros to raid hospitals and kindergartens and throw immigrants and their children onto the street so Greeks could take their places.
Mr Papaioannou said: “In my view the top priority now is that we have to see what we can do with the fact that there will be strong neo-Nazi representation in the next parliament.”

First published in The Age.

Greek bailout back on track as election victor seeks allies

ATHENS

Political horse-trading over the next few days will decide the shape of Greece’s next government, as the pro-Europe New Democracy Party tries to form yet another coalition to lead the troubled country.
Greek voters provided a breather in the euro crisis by favouring parties that support the bailout deal, warding off an immediate new crisis in the eurozone. But they also rewarded parties of the radical left and extreme right, marking a new polarisation in political views.
Antonis Samaras, leader of the conservative New Democracy, hailed his win as a victory for Greece and for Europe. He said: “We will not have new adventure, we will not doubt the position of Greece in Europe, we will not be cowed by fear.” But he also promised “we cannot continue to injure every family with government”. Greece has been crippled by five years of recession and high unemployment, intensified by severe austerity measures imposed as part of a European deal to help the nation cope with its euro debt.
Greece’s lenders had insisted the two bailouts, totalling €240 billion ($301 billion) , be honoured or funds would be cut off, bankrupting Greece and forcing it out of the eurozone. This could mean the end of the euro and global financial chaos.
But Greeks had protested fiercely against the harshness of the measures and an obscure party, the radical left Syriza, has sprung into prominence on the back of promises to tear up the memorandum over the bailout.
Syriza came a close second, increasing its share of the vote to more than 27 per cent. New Democracy won 29.4 per cent.
The German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, congratulated Greek’s pro-bailout conservative leader on his victory and told him she is confident Athens will abide by its European pledges.
Germany – Europe’s biggest economy – has been a large contributor to Greece’s two multibillion-euro rescue packages and a key advocate of demanding tough, and highly unpopular, austerity and reform measures in exchange.
Meanwhile, weekend elections in France gave the socialists an easy absolute parliamentary majority, strengthening the position of the socialist President, Francois Hollande, in debates about the future of Europe.
European leaders had delayed leaving for a G20 summit in Mexico to see the Greek election result. The Greek electoral system gives the party with the highest vote a bonus of 50 extra seats but Mr Samaras will still need several coalition allies. He is likely to seek a partnership with the other traditional ruling party of Greece, the centre-left socialists of PASOK. Between them they could muster 160 seats in the 300-seat parliament but given their fierce differences the coalition would be volatile. Syriza has declined to join the coalition.
“We have a very polarised election result and I think it is reflecting the anger as well as the fear of the voters,” said Kostas Papaioannou, who stood as a candidate for the Democratic Left.
Mr Papaioannou, former chairman of the National Commission for Human Rights, told the Herald the strong result for the anti-immigrant party Golden Dawn, which won about 7 per cent of the vote and an estimated 19 seats in parliament, showed the party was here to stay. He said the vote that first catapulted the party into parliament in May was clearly not an aberration, and voters could not claim they did not know what they were voting for.
These included an incident in which party a spokesman slapped a woman MP on television, racist attacks, and a threat by party MP Ilias Panagiotaros to raid hospitals and kindergartens and throw immigrants and their children onto the street so that Greeks could take their places.
Mr Papaioannou said: “In my view the top priority now is that we have to see what we can do with the fact that there will be strong neo-Nazi representation in the next parliament.”

First published in the Sydney Morning Herald 19 June 2012.

Greek bailout back on track as election victor seeks allies

ATHENS

Political horse-trading over the next few days will decide the shape of Greece’s next government, as the pro-Europe New Democracy Party tries to form yet another coalition to lead the troubled country.
Greek voters provided a breather in the euro crisis by favouring parties that support the bailout deal, warding off an immediate new crisis in the eurozone. But they also rewarded parties of the radical left and extreme right, marking a new polarisation in political views.
Antonis Samaras, leader of the conservative New Democracy, hailed his win as a victory for Greece and for Europe. He said: “We will not have new adventure, we will not doubt the position of Greece in Europe, we will not be cowed by fear.” But he also promised “we cannot continue to injure every family with government”. Greece has been crippled by five years of recession and high unemployment, intensified by severe austerity measures imposed as part of a European deal to help the nation cope with its euro debt.
Greece’s lenders had insisted the two bailouts, totalling €240 billion ($301 billion) , be honoured or funds would be cut off, bankrupting Greece and forcing it out of the eurozone. This could mean the end of the euro and global financial chaos.
But Greeks had protested fiercely against the harshness of the measures and an obscure party, the radical left Syriza, has sprung into prominence on the back of promises to tear up the memorandum over the bailout.
Syriza came a close second, increasing its share of the vote to more than 27 per cent. New Democracy won 29.4 per cent.
The German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, congratulated Greek’s pro-bailout conservative leader on his victory and told him she is confident Athens will abide by its European pledges.
Germany – Europe’s biggest economy – has been a large contributor to Greece’s two multibillion-euro rescue packages and a key advocate of demanding tough, and highly unpopular, austerity and reform measures in exchange.
Meanwhile, weekend elections in France gave the socialists an easy absolute parliamentary majority, strengthening the position of the socialist President, Francois Hollande, in debates about the future of Europe.
European leaders had delayed leaving for a G20 summit in Mexico to see the Greek election result. The Greek electoral system gives the party with the highest vote a bonus of 50 extra seats but Mr Samaras will still need several coalition allies. He is likely to seek a partnership with the other traditional ruling party of Greece, the centre-left socialists of PASOK. Between them they could muster 160 seats in the 300-seat parliament but given their fierce differences the coalition would be volatile. Syriza has declined to join the coalition.
“We have a very polarised election result and I think it is reflecting the anger as well as the fear of the voters,” said Kostas Papaioannou, who stood as a candidate for the Democratic Left.
Mr Papaioannou, former chairman of the National Commission for Human Rights, told the Herald the strong result for the anti-immigrant party Golden Dawn, which won about 7 per cent of the vote and an estimated 19 seats in parliament, showed the party was here to stay. He said the vote that first catapulted the party into parliament in May was clearly not an aberration, and voters could not claim they did not know what they were voting for.
These included an incident in which party a spokesman slapped a woman MP on television, racist attacks, and a threat by party MP Ilias Panagiotaros to raid hospitals and kindergartens and throw immigrants and their children onto the street so that Greeks could take their places.
Mr Papaioannou said: “In my view the top priority now is that we have to see what we can do with the fact that there will be strong neo-Nazi representation in the next parliament.”First published in The Sydney Morning Herald.

Lone, fragile future beckons the Greeks

The crisis engulfing the country has led to violence, recriminations and widespread hatred of politicians, writes Karen Kissane in Athens.

At the beginning of last year, they were both in work. By the end of it, they were both unemployed. Now, like many young city people, Vasso Simu and Panagiotis Vovos have been forced by what Greeks call “The Crisis” to return to the simpler life on the land that their grandparents had led.
Simu and Vovos are both 31. She had been an adviser in an insurance company, he had been a computer programmer. Unemployed and with no future in the city, three months ago they moved back to his mother’s village on the island of Evia, two hours’ drive from Athens.
“We wanted a new life in the countryside,” Simu says. “We have our own garden: tomatoes, aubergines, peppers, beans, corn. We will make our own olive grove.” She works in a restaurant to earn them cash but they hope eventually to make a real living out of selling what they grow.
Meanwhile, they love the traditional life. “Every day we are swimming in the sea,” she says with satisfaction. “We get up early and collect the eggs. Right now Panagiotis is filling the ground with water and then he will fix the house of the chickens. I make marmalade and all the food for us to eat. We are very happy.”
There are not many Greeks who can say the financial crisis has led to happiness. The economy has been crippled by five years of recession, aggravated by an extreme austerity drive that has driven up taxes while public spending, wages and pensions have been slashed. Unemployment is at 23 per cent and is close to 50 per cent for young people.
The national debt is so mountainous that Greece might default on its repayments and walk away – out of the euro and back into the drachma, out of the European Union and into a lone and fragile future.
All of this is enough to make tomorrow’s Greek election, a rerun of a poll six weeks ago that failed to deliver a government, the most important since the end of World War II. It will effectively be a vote on whether Greece should continue to accept the tough terms of its financial bail-out by the “troika” of the EU, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund.
This means it is also an election that Europe’s leaders are watching with bated breath. If Greece defaults or leaves the euro, there will be a domino effect across the rest of the troubled zone, with Spain, then Italy, and even Belgium and France facing investor flight and unsustainably high interest rates.
Spain and Italy endured a market storm this week as the Greek election drew near, despite the fact that eurozone leaders agreed to a €100 billion ($126.1 billion) rescue package for teetering Spanish banks.
On Thursday, Spain’s Foreign Minister warned of impending doom for the eurozone as his country’s borrowing costs reached an unsustainable 7 per cent. Jose Manuel Garcia Margallo told his wealthier neighbours: “If that Titanic sinks it takes everyone with it, even those travelling in first class.”
The threat of a Greek default is real. The main conservative contender in the Greek election, the New Democracy party, wants to change some terms of the bailout but basically supports the deal. But a left-wing party that also has a good chance of coming first, Syriza, has promised to renegotiate or even tear up the memorandum of understanding. Default even has a nickname now: “Grexit.”
A printing house is rumoured to be on stand-by to produce drachmas should they be needed. European banks and political leaders are drawing up contingency plans for an emergency. Ordinary Greeks have their own contingency plans; they are pulling up to €800 million a day out of banks to try to safeguard their savings by hiding them in their homes or squirreling them away overseas.
Greek domestic politics are always roiling but are particularly fevered now because people of all political stripes are furious with the major parties – conservative New Democracy and socialist PASOK – that have led their country to ruin. If there is one thing that unites this fractious nation, it is a withering contempt for its inept (and often corrupt) leaders.
Leo, who does not want his surname used, is a fine arts graduate, a former chief executive of a private school and most recently an icon painter who supported himself happily by painting for 20 years until the crisis struck. Two years ago, he found himself with no orders for icons and no money to pay rent. He ended up living on the streets of Athens.
He was taken in by a hostel, Klimaka, and is living there until he qualifies for the age pension in a year. He won’t be voting tomorrow.
“I do believe that my vote is valuable and [should] not to be spent on those crooks,” he says. “I am very angry with the politicians, particularly those who ruled for the last 25 years and present themselves for our votes now. They don’t accept that they are failures.”
He refused to elaborate, saying the language he would have to use to describe them would not be fit for a family newspaper.
Voters have physically attacked politicians in the street. Many demonstrations against the bailout terms have ended in violence. Last week, the rage leapt into the political arena itself with an incident that has become known as “the slap”.
Ilias Kasidiaris is a spokesman for Golden Dawn, a party described by some as extreme right and others as neo-Nazi. In a live TV debate he lost his temper after verbal goading from a female communist MP and struck her. He also threw a glass of water at another female politician. He later blamed them for having provoked him but he faces assault charges.
While prosecutors have no doubt he did wrong, comments on social media were more evenly divided. A Facebook page was set up with the title “God bless his hands” (a Greek expression that is the equivalent of “serve her right”). It gained 4000 fans in a day.
The caption below a photograph of Kasidiaris said: “Today Ilias did what all the Greeks wanted to do for a long time – slap the political system and its representatives.”
Michalis Spourdalakis, professor of political science at Athens University, says: “A man beating up a woman is not acceptable in Greece, but beating up a woman who is a politician, that’s OK. This is because [people think that] as a woman she is out of her place to be in politics, and also because politicians are hated.”
Spourdalakis says he did not believe the doomsayers who warned two years ago that the consequences of the austerity measures insisted upon by the bailout would be a disaster. He now thinks they were right.
“There has been loss of income, an undermining of the basic functions of hospitals and schools and universities – everything,” he says. “Seventy thousand small businesses have gone bankrupt. There have been very strong anti-authoritarian measures; police have been beefed up and have been very aggressive against demonstrators.
“And there’s no dialogue any more; collective bargaining has gone in this country, and it has been part of the tradition of Western democracies since the 19th century. All this has happened in just two years.”
Leonidas Vatikiotis, who teaches political economy at the Varna Free University of Cyprus, says it is the most brutal austerity program imposed on a developed nation since World War II. It has shrunk the middle class and triggered “generalised poverty” and “social genocide”.
“People can’t pay the loans for their own homes; they are homeless at 50 or 60, and ashamed of it,” he says.
“In the centre of Athens we have 25,000 homeless, and usually they were in the middle class. They weren’t workers or public servants, they were shop owners or self-employed.
“Athens is a ghost city at night, with people wrapped in blankets waiting in the shadows.”
At the same time as Greeks are earning less, welfare is shrinking, with the closure of 54 hospitals and 1000 schools last year. This is a big problem in the remote mountains where sending children 30 kilometres to school in winter is dangerous. “You can’t compare Greece’s school ratio with, say, Sweden’s, because Greece has different geography,” Spourdalakis says.
The consequent loathing of establishment politics has led to a polarisation in Greek voting patterns. At the last poll on May 6, voters savaged the main parties that had supported the bailout deal, parties that had dominated Greek politics for decades, and turned instead to parties that were further left and further right.
The ultra-nationalist Golden Dawn shot to prominence when it won 7 per cent of the vote and entered parliament for the first time with 21 seats. It was buoyed by a wave of hostility towards illegal immigrants – it wants to send them “home” and lay landmines to protect borders – as well as concerns about street violence and crime. Its new status is being linked to a spate of assaults on immigrants.
But the real arm-wrestling tomorrow will be between New Democracy, which won 18.5 per cent of the vote last time (120 seats) and the new left-wing coalition Syriza, which got a close-run 17 per cent (52 seats). (In Greece, the party that wins the highest percentage of the vote is awarded a bonus 50 seats.)
The Syriza leader, Alexis Tsipras, whose coalition contains 12 parties of greens and socialists, has promised to stand up to Europe over the terms of the bailout.
He says Greeks have been duped into thinking that there is only one way out of their economic mess, “through the cruel austerity [German chancellor] Madame Merkel and the IMF have inflicted upon us”.
Tsipras has also won brownie points by attacking the corrupt political elite and crooked bankers. “Greeks who vote for Syriza are not expecting Syriza to solve all the problems,” Spourdalakis says. “They vote just in hope of a breath of fresh air and as a small step towards self-respect. There’s no way in this country we can have a troika going into every public office and telling us what to do. Greeks are insulted.
“But they also lean towards Syriza because it is not corrupt and because it supports them in the struggle against the memorandum. Syriza were there in the protests, they were tear-gassed too, they were jailed with them. That’s why they trust them.”
Polls show Syriza neck-and-neck with New Democracy, but neither is expected to win outright in the 300-seat parliament. “We are hopeful we will be the first party and confident we can find a framework to come together [to govern] with the Democratic Left and perhaps the Communist Party,” says John Milios, a professor of economics who has helped write Syriza’s economic platform.
He says the party accepts the main goal of the bailout terms: a primary surplus in the budget. “But it’s impossible to achieve the goal of growth, which is required for a primary surplus, while paying €110 billion in interest by 2020. If we follow this austerity program we would have to further reduce wages and pensions and dismantle welfare.”
Milios says the party will prevent further cuts in the income of most people, returning the minimum wage to €751 a month (it had been cut to €560) and reintroducing collective bargaining.
“We need to work out how to make the debt viable and take specific measures for stronger growth rates.” This would involve big infrastructure projects to boost employment, he says.
Big projects such as the Athens Olympics in 2004 were a large part of what got Greece into trouble in the first place. Spending on stadiums and roads gushed on the strength of easy credit, but public revenues, strangled by tax evasion, did not keep up with the outgoing torrent.
Business and citizens did their bit, too. They borrowed lavishly for consumer goods and for property, which ballooned into a bubble that burst, leaving many over-burdened with debt that outstripped their assets.
At least the disaster has not stripped Greeks of their sense of humour. A young man dressed up for a carnival party this year in a black dinner suit and hired himself a fancy car for the evening. He told other guests: “I’m coming as the 1980s!”
Many are now reassessing their values along with their budgets. Fay Vernikou, 29, and Kostas Hatzipanagiotis, 31, are another young couple who fled to the island of Evia when they foresaw hard times.
He used to work for a publishing company and she was a primary school teacher in Athens. They were not unemployed when they chose to move three years ago, “but you could see what was coming”, Hatzipanagiotis says. “It was the time of the first austerity measures.”
He says Greeks had the mistaken idea they could be consumers without first creating anything. He is trying to become more self-sufficient, including by growing his own food, but confesses ruefully that he is struggling to wean himself off TV and the internet.
“The crisis is our fault as much as anyone else’s fault,” he says. “Sometimes Greek society is hoping for a fairy godmother. We always put the blame on politicians but we also played a part.”
He won’t be voting tomorrow because he doesn’t think elections make a difference: “People need to organise into small groups and set up co-operatives to change our lives. We shouldn’t expect politicians to solve anything.”
Milios also thinks the current crisis brings as its flip side an opportunity for change, but while Hatzipanagiotis is thinking small, he is thinking big.
Milios sees the mess as being about the failure of Thatcherism and neo-liberal policies that gave too heavy an emphasis to markets and business, and not enough to the human needs of society.
If Greece can force a renegotiation of its loan terms, it creates space for a discussion “about a different kind of society, one based on social needs and not on the interests of the few or the maximisation of profit as a prerequisite of accomplishment of any goal”.
He also sees his party’s stance as a spur to the saving of the euro. Many economists believe it will survive only if the European Central Bank guarantees the debt of all members and issues European bonds to raise money for them. This option is fiercely resisted by Germany and its Chancellor, Angela Merkel.
But her party is expected to do badly at the next German elections, Milios says. “We expect that the whole European structure will change. I think we are playing a role as the initiator of this process.”

First published in The Age.

No, no, 350 billion times no, say Greeks

Endemic structural flaws underpinning the European Union are partly to blame for Greece’s economic woes, writes Karen Kissane in London.

THE Greeks have a national holiday for saying “No!” On October 28, they celebrate the anniversary of a day in 1940 when their prime minister rejected a demand by Mussolini that Axis troops cross into Greece.
Legend has it that despite knowing it would mean war, he simply said “Ohi!” (pronounced o-hee). Greeks who had heard the story then poured into the streets shouting “Ohi!” in solidarity. The Italians did invade but were eventually driven out.
For weeks now, angry crowds outside Greece’s parliament have called on that history of patriotic resistance, waving banners that again proclaim “Ohi!” This time, the “enemy” is their government’s austerity program and it is not yet clear if the people will win.
The rest of Europe hopes not. Greece owes €350 billion ($A473 billion) — more than 1 times the country’s annual output. It cannot afford to pay even the interest on those debts. Since May last year the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund have been bailing Greece out with a €110 billion loan and are now considering a second one.
In return, this “troika” insists that Greece balance its books.
For years, Greek governments have spent more than they earn. The country’s leaky and unfair tax system — which captures ordinary wage earners but lets many self-employed and big-business people off the hook — did not bring in enough money to pay for its large public sector and its welfare programs.
Greece is now stigmatised as the potential cause of a euro-zone collapse. If it defaults and chooses bankruptcy, this might frighten investors who are already anxious about the financial problems of Portugal, Ireland and Spain, who, together with Greece, are now known by the graceless acronym “PIGS”. This could cause “contagion” — fear spreading through markets — triggering a credit freeze that sucks the rest of the euro zone or even the rest of the world into recession.
But the cause of Greece’s catastrophe does not lie entirely with Greece. Underlying faults in the structure of the European Union allowed the debacle to develop.
Greek analyst Petros Papaconstantinou asked in the newspaper Kathimerini: “If . . . little Greece is capable of causing such contagion throughout Europe, couldn’t the problem lie with Europe’s immune system?”
The European Union is a giant experiment, magnificently idealistic but flawed.
The euro zone has a single currency for countries with widely differing levels of wealth, frugality and financial nous. Interest rates were kept low by the European Central Bank to prevent deflation in wealthier countries but the easy credit seduced “PIGS” nations.
The EU then proved to have poor systems for supervising member countries’ national accounts and for regulating the levels of capitalisation of European banks, which run on lower deposit ratios than American banks. It also failed to recognise the danger of fearsomely large bubbles in places such as Ireland and Greece.
The EU was set up on the understanding that no member would be required to prop up another. But in most nation-states with a single currency — such as Australia or the US — poorer areas are given a boost through higher per-head funding or projects that bring work to a place with less employment. The EU has a couple of ways of doing this, but they are relatively low key.
Nation-states also have a national debt for which the entity as a whole takes responsibility. The EU does not.
The EU has tried to have an economic zone that is united in some regards (over currency and interest rates) but fragmented: countries are free to decide their own tax and spending targets and run up their own debts.
“The perception was that the euro zone was rather like living in a neighbourhood with individual houses and individual gardens,” says Thomas Klau of the European Council on Foreign Relations. “You want all the houses and gardens to look nice, but ultimately everyone has a responsibility for his or her own building.
“It’s more like an apartment building. When there’s a flood or a fire in one of the flats, everyone is affected.”
This is why some analysts now talk of the EU either becoming more integrated or fracturing entirely. It could decide to develop closer ties over money to stabilise the zone, or Germany might finally buck up over endless bailouts. Greece might decide that default could not be any more painful than its current suffering. Everything old will be new again, in a Europe with Deutschmarks and drachmas.
It is now seen as inevitable that Greece will default at some point and further bailouts are viewed as ways of buying time: for Greece to get back in the black before it has to manage on its own; for Ireland, Spain and Portugal to become stronger; and for Europe’s banks to regain their balance.
Spain has its “indignants” protesting against austerity. The Irish complain their debt repayments are strangling any chance of recovery. This week, 500,000 Britons took to the streets to oppose cuts to pension plans.
Greeks are not the only ones shouting “No!”

First published in The Age.